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Grote correctie in crypto. Bitcoin 48% lager.

Gisteren deed zich de grootste correctie voor binnen de cryptowereld. Bedroeg de totale marktomvang nog 800 miljard, nu is deze gedaald tot rond de 450 miljard. (peildatum 17-01-2017) Bitcoin maakte zelfs een correctie door van 48% ten opzichte van de alltime high van 20.000 USD welke 31 dagen geleden. Biedt deze daling een mooie gelegenheid om te kopen?

Bitcoin

Bitcoin heeft in een maand tijd bijna 50% aan waarde verloren. Biedt deze daling een nieuw instapmoment om te kopen? Of is een verdere daling te verwachten? Kijkend naar de historie is deze daling niet anders dan eerdere dalingen. Over de periode september 2010 en januari 2018 geeft onderstaande tabel een overzicht. Hierin is onder andere opgenomen de hoogste koers, de correctie (koers en procentueel) en het aantal dagen wanneer de correctie plaats heeft gevonden nadat een nieuwe hoogste koers werd bereikt. Koersen in USD.

[table width =”100%” style =”” responsive =”false”]
[table_head]
[th_column]Correctie periode[/th_column]
[th_column]Dagen correctie[/th_column]
[th_column]Koers hoog[/th_column]
[th_column]Koers correctie[/th_column]
[th_column]Daling %[/th_column]
[th_column]Stijging return%[/th_column]
[th_column]Datum nieuw hoog[/th_column]
[th_column]Dagen nieuw hoog[/th_column]
[/table_head]
[table_body]
[table_row]
[row_column]17/12/2017 – 16/01/2018[/row_column]
[row_column]30[/row_column]
[row_column]19.783[/row_column]
[row_column]10.201[/row_column]
[row_column]-48%[/row_column]
[row_column]94%[/row_column]
[row_column]?[/row_column]
[row_column]?[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[table_row]
[row_column]08/11/2017 – 12/11/2017[/row_column]
[row_column]4[/row_column]
[row_column]7.879[/row_column]
[row_column]5.507[/row_column]
[row_column]-30%[/row_column]
[row_column]43%[/row_column]
[row_column]16/11/2017[/row_column]
[row_column]8[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[table_row]
[row_column]02/09/2017 – 15/09/2017[/row_column]
[row_column]13[/row_column]
[row_column]5.014[/row_column]
[row_column]2.951[/row_column]
[row_column]-41%[/row_column]
[row_column]70%[/row_column]
[row_column]12/10/2017[/row_column]
[row_column]40[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[table_row]
[row_column]11/06/2017 – 16/07/2017[/row_column]
[row_column]35[/row_column]
[row_column]3.025[/row_column]
[row_column]1.837[/row_column]
[row_column]-39%[/row_column]
[row_column]65%[/row_column]
[row_column]05/08/2017[/row_column]
[row_column]55[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[table_row]
[row_column]10/03/2017 – 24/03/2017[/row_column]
[row_column]14[/row_column]
[row_column]1.326[/row_column]
[row_column]892[/row_column]
[row_column]-33%[/row_column]
[row_column]49%[/row_column]
[row_column]27/04/2017[/row_column]
[row_column]48[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[table_row]
[row_column]30/11/2013 – 14/01/2015[/row_column]
[row_column]410[/row_column]
[row_column]1.166[/row_column]
[row_column]170[/row_column]
[row_column]-85%[/row_column]
[row_column]585%[/row_column]
[row_column]23/02/2017[/row_column]
[row_column]1.181[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[table_row]
[row_column]10/04/2013 – 07/07/2013[/row_column]
[row_column]88[/row_column]
[row_column]266[/row_column]
[row_column]63[/row_column]
[row_column]-76%[/row_column]
[row_column]323%[/row_column]
[row_column]07/11/2013[/row_column]
[row_column]211[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[table_row]
[row_column]08/06/2011 – 17/11/2011[/row_column]
[row_column]162[/row_column]
[row_column]32[/row_column]
[row_column]1,99[/row_column]
[row_column]-94%[/row_column]
[row_column]1.504%[/row_column]
[row_column]28/02/2013[/row_column]
[row_column]631[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[table_row]
[row_column]13/05/2011 – 21/05/2011[/row_column]
[row_column]8[/row_column]
[row_column]8,45[/row_column]
[row_column]5,58[/row_column]
[row_column]-34%[/row_column]
[row_column]51%[/row_column]
[row_column]25/05/2011[/row_column]
[row_column]12[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[table_row]
[row_column]10/02/2011 – 04/04/2011[/row_column]
[row_column]53[/row_column]
[row_column]1,10[/row_column]
[row_column]0,56[/row_column]
[row_column]-49%[/row_column]
[row_column]96%[/row_column]
[row_column]17/04/2011[/row_column]
[row_column]66[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[table_row]
[row_column]06/11/2010 – 10/11/2010[/row_column]
[row_column]4[/row_column]
[row_column]0,50[/row_column]
[row_column]0,14[/row_column]
[row_column]-72%[/row_column]
[row_column]257%[/row_column]
[row_column]31/01/2011[/row_column]
[row_column]86[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[table_row]
[row_column]14/09/2010 – 08/10/2010[/row_column]
[row_column]24[/row_column]
[row_column]0,17[/row_column]
[row_column]0,01[/row_column]
[row_column]-94%[/row_column]
[row_column]1.600%[/row_column]
[row_column]24/10/2010[/row_column]
[row_column]40[/row_column]
[/table_row]
[/table_body]
[/table]

Op Twitter zijn verschillende posts te vinden die de daling in perspectief plaatsen. Enerzijds is de afgelopen vier jaar in januari sprake van een correctie. Deze correctie valt veelal samen met de periode voor het Chinese Nieuw Jaar. Anderzijds nemen traders en whales winsten. Laatstgenoemde is voeding voor de ‘zwakke’ hand om te verkopen. Op basis van bovenstaande tabel is het aannemelijk dat herstel uiteindelijk volgt.

Marc van der Chijs noemt in de video één aspect. Het fundament rondom crypto is niet veranderd. Ondanks de daling van 20% is hij overtuigd van de lange termijn. De daling biedt een opportuniteit om crypto te kopen.

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